‘Some say that 1998 was the first year that the claim “Year of the Linux Desktop” started’ – anyway, besides the 2+-% of the Worldwide Desktop user base does anyone else care? PC sales down? Sure, after 8 years of Barack Obama almost everything ‘n everyone was down.
Not sure where that pic gets the “5%” for Linux in 2020, but Linux has been stuck around 2% of the Worldwide Desktop user base for decades. A clear majority of Worldwide Desktop users don’ want a “Terminal-Centric” (AKA keyboard-based) operating system (OS). Heck, the typical Linux user thinks that Linux is a mouse-based OS because their mouse can ‘point ‘n click’ – i.e. their actual OS knowledge base is so low that they don’t even realize their mouse can’t scroll or auto-scroll or etc. See ‘Keyboard OS Linux vs the basic Scroll Wheel Mouse’ for more info:
The mouse in Linux scrolls about 1.5 to 2 lines per notch-click of the mouse wheel, and most Linux users don’t even notice it!?! The mouse in Windows OSes have a Wheel Tab, under Mouse Properties, that allow for setting the mouse to 1-100 vertical lines per notch-click, or for one screen at a time, plus a tilt of the wheel for horizontal scrolling from 1-100 characters at a time (left or right tilts). The basic wheel mouse under Windows OSes can do a *LOT* more than just ‘point ‘n click’.
September 29, 2020 – Celebrated open-source software advocate and author Eric Raymond, who’s long argued Linux will rule the desktop, reckons it won’t be long before Windows 10 becomes an emulation layer over a Linux kernel.
In 2002, he said Windows wouldn’t be a viable profit engine for Microsoft once the price of a PC fell below $350. The “Microsoft tax” would eat into too much of OEMs’ margins.
He has basically been repeating the same thing since 2002 – Eric Raymond: Linux will rule the desktop:
March 29, 2002 – I think Linux will take over the desktop, and I think the reason it will doesn’t have much to do with whether we clean up and polish our interfaces or not. Linux will take over the desktop because as the price of desktop machines drops, the Microsoft tax represents a larger and larger piece of OEM margin. There’s going to come a point at which that’s not sustainable, and at which OEMs have to bail out of the Microsoft camp in order to continue making any money at all. At that point, Linux wins even if the UI sucks.
Well, not sure what Eric Raymond has been saying, but Microsoft did create the Azure Sphere OS because *ALL* the other Linux Distros lacked the security that Microsoft needed. Linux is simply not a secure OS as their developers ‘n users falsely claim…have falsely claimed for decades. As my *Linux Security Issues* page reflects, hackers have been hacking into Linux servers for decades because Linux is so vulnerable – Windows 10 isn’t the most vulnerable operating system – it’s actually Linux:
Which operating system has suffered the most vulnerabilities since around the turn of the millennium? That would be Linux, not Microsoft’s Windows, at least according to a freshly released report.
An analysis of the National Institute of Standards and Technology’s National Vulnerability Database, compiled by Thebestvpn.com, tracked ‘technical vulnerabilities’ in popular pieces of software between 1999 and 2019.
Note that the Data for this report runs from 1999 to 2019. Like humble me mentioned earlier in this post – Linux developers ‘n users have falsely claimed for decades that Linux is a secure OS. Microsoft helping Linux to protect itself from Malware ‘n Malicious software…again! Microsoft created Azure Sphere OS because they demand real security, and no Linux Distro can provide real security…simple as that.
Is Windows 10 dead? Is the PC dead? Annual global PC shipments grow for the first time in 8 years:
Jan. 14, 2020 – snip … “This past year was a wild one in the PC world, which resulted in impressive market growth that ultimately ended seven consecutive years of market contraction,” said Ryan Reith, program vice president with IDC’s Worldwide Mobile Device Trackers .. snip .. “The PC market experienced growth for the first time since 2011, driven by vibrant business demand for Windows 10 upgrades, particularly in the U.S., EMEA and Japan,” said Mikako Kitagawa, senior principal analyst at Gartner. “We expect this growth to continue through this year even after Windows 7 support comes to an end this month, as many businesses in emerging regions such as China, Eurasia and the emerging Asia/Pacific have not yet upgraded.”
Is Windows 10 dead? Is the PC dead? Gartner Says Worldwide PC Shipments Grew 3.6% in Third Quarter of 2020:
October 12, 2020 – Worldwide PC shipments totaled 71.4 million units in the third quarter of 2020, a 3.6% increase from the third quarter of 2019, according to preliminary results by Gartner, Inc. Consumer demand for PCs due to home entertainment and distance learning needs during the ongoing pandemic, along with the strongest growth the U.S. PC market has seen in 10 years, drove the global market momentum.
Snip .. While Gartner does not include Chromebook shipments in its traditional PC market results, Chromebook shipments grew by approximately 90% in the third quarter of 2020, compared to a year ago. This demand was driven by distance learning due to the pandemic, especially in the U.S. education market. Including Chromebooks, the total worldwide PC market grew around 9% year over year, with Chromebooks representing about 11% of the combined PC/Chromebook market.
Desktop users even choose Chomebooks over any other Linux Distro offering, which doesn’t reflect well for Linux, IMHO.
Also, all this talk about the “Death of the PC” seems to ignore the home Desktop users who build their own PC’s. The PC hardware market seems to have been doing great for at least the past 4-5 years, probably pushed by gamers’ demands. I have built 5 computers since 2016, built 4 of those since starting this blog in January of 2019. Purchased Ace the Laptop for a lot less than the “$350” that Eric Raymond talks about!
Death of Windows OS ‘n the PC? – Nah, just more ‘Year of the Linux Desktop’ fantasizing…